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摘要
利用空间信息系统所提供的强大空间数据处理和分析能力,并将之与统计分析软件包的统计分析功能进行有效的集成,建立了基于空间统计分析的可持续发展定量分析评价模型(SBSA)。从在缅甸中部Myingyan县的应用实例来看,该模型能够提示影响Myingyan县可持续发展能力的主导因子,通过对这些因子和可持续发展综合指数的定量化、空间化的分析,为政府部门规划区域综合发展方案,制定发展政策提供很好的决策支持。
Due to the complexity of sustainable development, the selection of index system is very difficult and all these make it tough to collect, process and interpret data for the indexes. Consequently some of the methods of SD evaluation are less operational. This paper discuss a new approach by means of which the powerful analytical functions of GIS are integrated with the statistical analysis function of statistical software to establish a spatial statistical analysis model (SBSA) for Myingyan sustainable development. This model has some advantages as follows:\;(1) Being able to assimilate spatial data with statistical data,\;(2) The number of indexes is free of limitations, so the SBSA model is powerful in its operational ablility;\;(3) To break the limitation of administration boundary for evaluation unit, and extract the principal factors and their spatial distribution which affect regional sustainable development potential.\;The implementation of SBSA model shows that three principal factors (PF) affecting the potential capacity of the sustainable development in Myingyan District are food provision, physical condition and population pressure on environment. The analysis and interpretation of the three PFs provide decision and planning support for Myingyan government.